We Americans are watching the events unfold in Iraq with great trepidation. Rising terrorism and rising energy prices. Déjà vu all over again.
And gold is reacting, soaring like a bat out of hell. Up more than $50 last Thursday alone.
A huge move reminiscent of the blastoff phase in late 1978 when gold exploded from a low of $193.40 in November to a high of $875 in January 1980 — a parabolic 352 percent move higher in the price of gold in a tad over two short years.
Thus far for June, gold is up an amazing $82, almost 6.7 percent. Mining shares are doing even better, with the ARCA Gold Bugs Index up 16.7 percent.
Basket of gold miners up 16.7% in 20 days — while some of my favorite miners are up even more, as much as 40% in a mere 20 days. |
Click for larger version |
While some of my favorite miners are up as much as 40 percent in a mere 20 days.
These are real moves. More importantly, they are market moves that tell you that it’s not just us Americans who are worried about the world and starting to buy gold again. The entire investment community — and anyone in their right mind — is worried.
That’s not surprising, considering the sorry state of affairs the world is embarking upon.
It’s not surprising, considering that I have warned you repeatedly of the ramping up of the war cycles. Cycles that govern human social interaction on a grand scale, cycles that can be quantified and used to forecast periods of peace and war, periods of civil unrest and international conflict.
And those cycles are now ramping up and converging in the worst possible combination of forces not seen since the late 1800s.
These are the cycles that are responsible for all that you are now seeing …
— Russia versus Ukraine and other former Soviet satellites, versus Europe and the U.S.
— The reign of terror by the Islamic State in Iraq and Syria (ISIS) in Iraq. This group of terrorists is so violent and extreme that they were kicked out of Al-Qaeda. And now they are the most well-funded terror group in the world with nearly $500 million in the bank and they are ravaging Iraq and headed on to Jordan and other Middle Eastern countries.
— Nigeria, where Boko Haram Islamists have killed hundreds of villagers and kidnapped hundreds of women by posing as Nigerian soldiers, rounding everyone up, and opening fire.
Gold will likely fetch well over $5,000 an ounce a few years from now. |
— Kenya, where the Al-Qaeda affiliate Al-Shabab terrorist group is responsible for the recent bloodbath that took place in Mpekeoni, a well-known tourist area. Â And where nine more people have been massacred by Islamic extremists and Al-Shabab in the coastal areas … and an additional 48 World Cup fans were killed in Mpeketoni.
— Pakistan, where more than 70,000 civilians are now homeless refugees, fleeing from government troops who killed 105 militants in North Waziristan’s Shawal area.
— Canada, where a Calgary suicide bomber who killed 19 Iraqis has become a propaganda tool for jihadists, who are urging Muslims to follow his “great example” and threatening Canada to change its “oppressive” foreign policies.
— China, where the Chinese government recently executed 13 people in the Xinjiang region who were found guilty of organizing and leading terrorist groups, as well as murder, arson, theft and other crimes.
— China versus Japan, Vietnam, Indonesia, Malaysia, the Philippines, in an international dispute over the Spratly and Senkaku Islands and their vast oil and gas reserves … and where China is claiming territorial jurisdiction, seizing land and waters away from countries, a dispute that will ultimately lead to an international war.
— Then there’s Syria, Yemen, Egypt, Turkey, Iran, North Korea, Venezuela, Myanmar, Libya, and a host of other countries where violence is rapidly rising.
All told, there are now a record 61 countries involved in wars and 540 militia, anarchist, religious and separatist groups.
And lest you think the turmoil you are seeing is all terrorist-related, or isolated events that do not impact you, think again:
The rising war cycles are also about bankrupt, destitute governments that are now acting like caged animals, striking out against their own people …
By raising taxes, engaging in confiscatory wealth measures and capital controls, by spying on their own citizens and more.
Consider:
— Last March’s Cyprus confiscation of depositor wealth to bail out Cyprus’ banks, a policy that has now been embraced and legalized for all of Europe. Have money in a European bank? Good luck, if it goes under, your money is at risk of being confiscated.
— Last September’s confiscation of retirement accounts by Poland’s government. Fully half of all private retirement assets transferred to the state without offering retirees any compensation whatsoever.
— France’s SEVENTY-FIVE percent income tax. And to counter, where France’s Marine Le Pen’s Front National is championing a recent report by well-known French economists that concluded that 60 percent of French public debt is illegitimate, sowing the seeds for a French sovereign debt default down the road.
— Argentina, where massive sovereign debts are now unpayable, and confiscatory measures against pensions are now in the planning stage by President Cristina Kirchner.
— Or Washington’s incessant spying on YOU, all designed to track everything you do, every penny you spend or squirrel away.
In short, all over the globe the rising tide of geo-political unrest is occurring at a pace at which even I underestimated.
You may think all these conflicts are unrelated … or the
result of religious extremists … or that they have no impact on you.
But mark my words: Look closely, as I have done, at all of the conflicts around the world — whether religiously inspired or not — and you will see two common threads:
1. Private sector groups rising up against authoritarian, unjust, corrupt and imperialist governments.
2. Private sector groups rising up against governments that want to increase taxes or even confiscate wealth while, at the same time, levying austerity measures on its people to slash previously promised benefits.
In lesser developed countries, it’s the result of government corruption, imperialistic actions taken by developed countries, pillaging of natural resources, and more. Yes, they are shrouded in religious, especially Islamic extremism …
But when distilled down to the truth, the forces driving them are no different than the forces that are driving the civil and international unrest you are now seeing in developed countries.
It’s merely a matter of degree. Yet an impartial and objective study of the forces that are driving the war cycles higher — wherever in the world they are playing themselves out …
Can all be distilled down to a great battle between the public and the private sectors.
These are the chief reasons gold and
silver are now starting to explode higher.
And why gold will likely fetch well over $5,000 an ounce a few years from now … silver to more than $125 an ounce … and mining shares, to the moon.
Best wishes and stay tuned,
Larry
{ 26 comments }
You did not say if you think gold has bottomed and it will only rise from here on. Or were you inferring this with your comments.
Larry said to back up the truck, the time to buy is Now. I believe that was on June 8th or 9th, on a Video with Dr. Martin Weiss.
I took Larrys advice and bought JNUG on June 10th (@ $16.95) and it was UP 83% as of last Thursday (June 19th), it pulled back 11.5% on Friday, BUT it is now climbing back, (Up 6.39% as of right now @ $28.14)
I Also bought (IAG) IAMGOLD which he recommended @ 3.62 a Share. It is at $4.19 a Share, as I type this.
Thank You Larry!!!!!
I haven’t had much to Invest, due to some ‘Life Situations’, but will be becoming a Member, once I gain a little more Wealth!
that’s true …Martin Weiss said Larry jumped in with both feet – while Larry only held his core position – gold/ miners – at the time …the IAG and JNUG recommendations came later I think . So, how many feet does Larry have ?
The same – for weeks we have been following your comments regarding the bottom, but now with the sudden rise, you don’t give a clear call. Do you think that in the SHORT TERM gold and gold miners will dip down once more, possibly lower than two weeks ago? (?)
Yes , Larry gave a clear call . He is 99 % convinced the bottom is in .
He was kind of sure the bottom was in in July? Aug. last year …again in Oct. 2013 but canceled in Feb.2014 and now he reached 99 % sureness .
All good things com in 3’s ?
Waiting for your signal to buy mining shares.Are we still early ?
The master equivocator ;-(
Larry, This reads more like a Infomercial on TV than analysis of gold and silver prices.
How can cycles be affected by wars that have not started yet in reality?
Skirmishes, rebellions, terrorism, yes. Wars, no.
For the past year or som you have been jumping from “gold will bottom at below $1100” to “gold has already bottomed and will shoot to the moon”, to “maybe gold will still bottom at below $110 at 20% chance”, to “miners to the moon”…Come, Larry, why speak from both sides of your mouth?
I mena, really now.
Do you really expect a 100 % forecast ? But so far every miner stock on his radar list is up 20 – 120 % not counting JNUG since it can deflate again .
But he really hasn’t recommended a lot even so he is SUPER bullish .
Remember : nobody gets the top or bottom . But what I find really strange that he thinks gold will be at $ 2500 ( or was it $ 2700 ? ) by next year same time as now or in 12 month . That is something I have a very tough time with . Weiss Research has been pushing ( mainly ) silver since January …..with PAAS they think they can make 1000 % by the end of year …..yes, it’s up 50% …but this hype behind all that …not too thrilled about …it’s like any other Gold Bug writer . I thought Larry was different .
He will only say “I predicted it” well past when it becomes obvious if this is it. I’ve been making notes on his record now for 5 years. I see the pattern.
I am getting tired of I told you so! Is it or is not the time to back up the truck in gold and silver? Where are all those recos that should make us tonnes money? All we do is wait and wait and all you do is: I told you so, I told you so. Come on lets get those recos flying.
Is it time to buy or is it not for gold and silver?
I to am getting tired of “gold will hit bottom in JAN”, then “gold will hit bottom in MAY”, “And gold is reacting, soaring like a bat out of hell. Up more than $50 last Thursday alone”. “White man speak with forked tongue” Please make up your mind.
We hit bottom in Dec 31… close enough, then everyone thought july will break down, but he did call it from 1900 down….. Things change and so do short term predications
Listen to what they want to say but take it as pinch of salt .trust no one and finally double check by doing your own research .
Everyone needs to learn to read a chart. This chart shows that the 19 dollar level was a good buy. Silver has busted through many resistances in last 8 trading sessions. Chart is now looking overextended…RSI’s 5 and 14 and Money flow index are boiling. These levels can ride this way for some time if the buying pressure remains and bulls keep pushing.
I personally am looking for pullback to the $20.20 to $20.50 level to see if the Simple moving average which stands at 20.46 holds.
Good luck to all.
Moving Average 200 day. $20.46^^^^
Agree with All Comments – Do you own homework.
Use these Article’s as good insight.
Timing is in your own hands
Being buying Mining Share’s since last year’s.
Some were winner’s some were loser’s some were flat – Now they are all winner’s (Long Term) Also start to Trade on the Long since Feb.
I’m not involved with the American market’s so I wouldn’t take up a subscription’s but I do wonder if Larry was advising to buy last month’s and give’s the rest of us the signal at the end of the year once it has played out.
All the best to the rest.
Hi Larry
I have been wondering about something you wrote on Mon 16th June (“Dow to double to More than 31,000………….”). In that article you say “And as Western Governments teeter and the banking system crashes again – and it will – stocks will be deemed to be a safer place to put your money than just about anything else”.
So if the banking system did crash again, how would you manage a share portfolio, because in this day and age most share management/trading platforms are run by the banks (or smaller brokerages that rely heavily on a working banking system).
If there was a banking crash would that not have a severe impact on the ability of people to buy and sell shares and therefore by default a market slump if not crash?
Kind Regards
Mick Cahill
I agree wholeheartedly with lkjlkj.
In Larry’s previous article he claims to have made the call on the 1987 crash – while in this recent video he appears just as stunned as anyone that it happend:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iJNEjq7I5Is
In addition, he claims to have called every major turn in the gold market – while having his subscibers go aggressive short on the double bottom in gold in December (makes you wonder about his other calls that we can’t check back in the day). While he was texting them that it was just a sucker rally months later he was calling the sucker rally bullish patterns. Nice to see his miners up 40% too bad we all missed it after the fact.
Just another fony selling an expensive subscribtion. Buyer beware!
I know of just a few idea’s for buying / selling. Last summer Larry gave a buy signal for SA which fell to $ 6.70 …he recommended to buy at $ 12 and stop at $ 7. 63 . SA went to $ 17 … no sell signal from Larry ( but of course people can use their own brain too ) SA went back to $ 6.81 . hello ? $ 17 or $ 15 was no sell signal and you let it drop back to $ 7 bucks ? But as I said before he saved MEGA bucks for most from Sept. Oct. 2011 therefore we shouldn’t pick him apart on some moves .
He charges so much for Gold and Silver trader and can’t put out sell signals? He also recommended Kinross around the same time – that one really sucked big.
Besides Heidi you likely work for Weiss and why you keep trying to defend him.
And quite trying to mask the fact he lies about his claims to fame – the video above clearly demonstrates this. His business model is taking in a steady stream of newbies who don’t know better, and this stuff is not easy to verify so he takes advantage of it.
Just another con man.
BTW the real guy who called the crash in 1987 from the above video says gold has not bottomed yet – we’ll see what happens.
Check out Armstrongs blog he doesn’ty sell subscriptions and hide out in Asia.
Also Goldman Sachs forecast sees gold bottoming end of this year sometime.
Please, don’t use Goldman Sachs – biggest crime people there is . About Armstrong…..he sure knows a lot – writes a lot – knows a lot and tells us for 3 yrs. that gold has to hit $ 1000 or even less . Hasn’t happen yet either and his stuff – like year endings and what they mean ( bullish / bearish ) is not as good as one likes to believe. Check it out . I did .
In his writing ” HOW and WHEN ” he talked about gold hitting $ 5000 in 2015/16 or even $ 12,000 . When approached about this $ 12,000 quote – he said he didn’t say that …well, people like me who keep most records of him e-mailed hundred’s of ” Yes, you did ” .
As we noticed – nobody is perfect , right ? Not even Armstrong . But Larry did save $$$ for most subscribers by telling them in Sept. 2011 – GET out . He must have saved mega bucks for them. Maybe now – since fishing for the bottom one should be more forgiving if he doesn’t hit right on ? Neither does Martin Armstrong if you check his stuff.
No one is right all the time but the above video and Larry’s claims do seem shady.
and now you should see his latest up-date – June 30th …ANV up 36 % / CDE up 32% / PAAS up 21 % …all up in 1 month but he did not recommended them . What a guy .
All g/s stocks from his recommended list have left their lows and only one stock was recommended .