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Money and Markets: Investing Insights

Dead cat bounce – what to do …

Martin D. Weiss, Ph.D. | Friday, August 29, 2008 at 1:30 pm

Martin D. Weiss, Ph.D.

Don’t let yesterday’s rally in the Dow fool you. There are two crucial reasons why I’m convinced it was nothing more than a dead-cat bounce:

First, it was on extremely light volume. With most of Wall Street traders already on their Labor Day vacations, a handful of traders can easily move the market no matter how dire the underlying fundamentals are.

Second, the fundamental forces that caused this crisis — the number of mortgages going bad and the losses at banks, brokers and insurers — are piling up faster now than ever before.

Nevertheless, the Pollyannas of Wall Street — the same analysts who used to swear on a stack of Bibles that the mortgage mess would be “small” and “limited to sub-prime” — are out in force again, trying to lure you back into some of the most vulnerable stocks in the world today.

Mark my words: This credit crisis cannot end … the bloodletting in bank stocks cannot subside … the damage being inflicted on companies that need credit to survive cannot be healed … and the carnage in the economy cannot be reversed …

… until the cause — ever increasing debt defaults — is reversed.

Meanwhile, we have alarming reports that Florida’s largest bank is now hanging by a thread and that news of a major bail-out could come as early as next week. Be sure to look for Sunday’s Money & Markets for the full report.

And here’s more help for you: Recently, we completed a startling new program, The “X” List, naming the banks we feel are the most likely to be in danger, and giving you explicit instructions on what to do about it. If you missed it, I suggest you click here to watch it now, before it’s too late.

Plus, earlier this morning, my colleague, Mike Larson, sent you a blockbuster new report on the banking crisis which you must not miss. Click here to read it on the Web.

In the meantime, I wish you and yours a grand Labor Day weekend.

Good luck and God bless!

Martin


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Money and Markets (MaM) is published by Weiss Research, Inc. and written by Martin D. Weiss along with Tony Sagami, Nilus Mattive, Sean Brodrick, Larry Edelson, Michael Larson and Jack Crooks. To avoid conflicts of interest, Weiss Research and its staff do not hold positions in companies recommended in MaM, nor do we accept any compensation for such recommendations. The comments, graphs, forecasts, and indices published in MaM are based upon data whose accuracy is deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Performance returns cited are derived from our best estimates but must be considered hypothetical in as much as we do not track the actual prices investors pay or receive. Regular contributors and staff include Kristen Adams, Andrea Baumwald, John Burke, Amber Dakar, Dinesh Kalera, Christina Kern, Red Morgan, Maryellen Murphy, Jennifer Newman-Amos, Adam Shafer, Julie Trudeau and Leslie Underwood.

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