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Money and Markets: Investing Insights

Disaster in Japan: The REAL Impact

Martin D. Weiss, Ph.D. | Thursday, March 17, 2011 at 3:33 pm

Excuse my French, but all hell is breaking loose around the globe.

The disaster in Japan has completely overshadowed news of the still-raging Middle East crisis.

And before that, the Middle East crisis violently shoved aside the historic budget battles in Washington, Wisconsin, Ohio, Illinois and elsewhere.

This triple-punch to the gut is hammering world’s investment markets.

And now, things are getting really strange …

As Japan’s nightmare unfolded, most experts expected investors to move their money out of Japan and into the U.S. or other major markets.

But in reality, the exact opposite is happening!

Yesterday, for instance, the Dow fell 242 points, the S&P 500 plunged 25 points, the Nasdaq declined 50, as global investors dropped U.S. stocks like hot potatoes. It was the market’s largest one-day decline in 7 months!

Even more telling, the Japanese yen soared to its highest level of all time!

But why? The answers are disturbing:

First, the U.S. market is vulnerable for a host of reasons — the continuing depression in housing, surging wholesale prices, rising long-term interest rates, and more!

Second, on the other side of the Pacific, Japan’s insurance companies are expecting to take massive hits. The insurance claims from Japan’s earthquake, tsunami and nuclear nightmare are bound to be extremely large — and extremely difficult to estimate — for a long time. I know because when I was a young analyst for a Japanese brokerage firm in Japan 30 years ago, our primary clients were Japan’s largest insurers.

That’s how I learned that Japan’s Ministry of Finance (MOF) had been preparing Japan’s insurers for this disaster for many years.

They knew the next “Big One” was coming someday — an earthquake that could cause unprecedented volumes of claims both to property and casualty insurers as well as to life and health companies.

They also knew they’d need liquid assets OUTSIDE of Japan to help pay the claims. So they mandated that insurers hold a solid chunk of their reserves in U.S., German and other foreign government securities.

How much? Huge amounts — Because they feared the earthquake might hit Tokyo. Instead, thankfully, Tokyo was spared a direct hit. But no one planned for a giant tsunami — let alone a nuclear disaster all at the same time.

Now the Japanese insurers have to start cashing in their foreign holdings, with most of those in U.S. markets. That means they’ve got to sell dollars, buy Japanese yen and then repatriate that money to help pay claims.

That’s a key reason the yen is surging, while the dollar plunges against the yen.

Third, the Bank of Japan will liquidate additional amounts of their U.S. assets to pump into the domestic economy and help finance reconstruction efforts.

Fourth, global investors aren’t dumb: They know that, to support the U.S. bond market, the U.S. Federal Reserve is going to print money hand over fist.

That not only hurts the U.S. dollar over the long haul … it also drives more money into all those assets that rise when the dollar falls, especially silver and gold.
My overall view …

An American Apocalypse
Has Now Begun

This new crisis could not have come at a worse time for American families. Unless our government makes an abrupt, 180-degree turn, it can only add fuel to the fires that have already been burning — a falling dollar, surging food and energy prices, higher U.S. interest rates, and more.

This is why I have just recorded and released a brand new video presentation — American Apocalypse.

In it, I show you why millions of Americans are likely to lose their incomes, their savings, their buying power, their homes.

I document the reasons why your liberty … your financial security … your retirement … your family’s physical safety … are now in grave danger.

Plus, I give you a clear plan to insulate yourself and your wealth as this historic catastrophe unfolds.

Click this link, and the video will begin playing on your screen right away.

Good luck and God bless!

Martin

Martin D. Weiss, Ph.D.

Dr. Weiss founded Weiss Research in 1971 and has dedicated his entire career to helping millions of average investors find truly safe havens and investments. He is Chairman of the Weiss Group, which includes Weiss Research and Weiss Ratings, the nation’s leading independent rating agency accepting no fees from rated companies. His last three books have all been New York Times Bestsellers and his most recent title is The Ultimate Money Guide for Bubbles, Busts, Recession and Depression.

{ 2 comments }

R Schmalzer Thursday, March 17, 2011 at 5:33 pm

It would be nice to have the option to read your reports instead of receiving them in video format. I am one of probably a small percentage of your
subscribers who live in an area of the country that cannot receive video reports because the slow telephone modem is the only option we have.
I live in the NW corner of Maine on the Canadian border. Also, one can read the content a lot faster than watching it in video form.
I have called this to your attention twice already so it will probably never happen. It would have been nice though, if you would have sent a very
brief reply.
Each year I am on Marco Island for three months and the condo I rent
only has the modem set-up so I have to believe there are others who are disappointed in getting only part of the subscription info.
Rolf S.

James Thompson Monday, March 21, 2011 at 9:53 am

I also would like to get the option to read Martin D. Weiss reports, instead of receiving them in video form! My hearing is not perfect due to High Frequency hearing loss, due to Military Service, but mainly my computer does not have any audio speakers; it is an Accer Aspire AMD 64 3500 purchased 3/31/06 from Circuit City, and my after market speakers burnt out, and I am hesitant to waste more money!!.

I read and studied all of Ludwig von Mises books, and also especially like the Paper Aristocracy, which argued that Gold is to scarce and liable to Market Corners, to be used as backing for currency again, and recommending silver, as it exists in a much greater amounts, and as India uses it for Traditional Dowries, using silver would strengthen a Natural Ally. Britain grew Great on Oxford Scholasticism, and Sterling Silver, and declined when it first went of the Oxford Scholasticism Standard and then the Sterling Silver Standard!

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