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Money and Markets: Investing Insights

So what SHOULD you buy in a world fraught with risk?

Mike Larson | Friday, February 10, 2012 at 7:30 am

Mike Larson

In Europe, despite news of what seems like the hundredth Greek deal, default is all but inevitable down the road. In the Middle East, tensions are ratcheting up in Syria and Iran, with the odds of an Israeli military strike steadily climbing. And here in the United States, many economic indicators suggest the recovery is far from robust.

For all of those reasons and more, I’ve counseled caution and patience when it comes to investing. But it doesn’t mean I’m recommending you sit in all cash. There are select asset classes, sectors, Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs) and stocks that I feel you can buy with confidence. So this week, I’d like to profile a few.

Here Are Some Safer Fixed-Income
Alternatives for Today’s Market

It’s no secret that investors are starved for income in today’s market. You can blame the Federal Reserve, which has declared financial war on savers by pledging to peg interest rates to the floor until kingdom come!

You could chase junk bonds because they offer higher yields. But that means you’re taking on significant credit risk. You could buy emerging-market bonds, also because of their higher interest rates. But then you’re taking on the risk that those countries’ stocks, bonds and currencies will suffer from slowing global economic growth.

Now, what I like to stick with are shorter-term, high-grade corporate bonds, bond funds or ETFs. I believe that some corporations are in better balance-sheet shape than many sovereign countries! To get started, you can check out some of the offerings that iShares has at this Web site: http://us.ishares.com/home.htm. (Search for “Fixed Income” ETFs.)

I also like the fact that strategies you couldn’t take advantage of in the past — such as plays on the shape of the yield curve — are now open to individual investors. You can thank the proliferation of fixed-income ETFs, which are opening up a world of new opportunities.

Meanwhile, we’ve seen a nice run in other higher-yielding plays such as Master Limited Partnerships. These energy-focused “MLPs” transport and store natural gas and petroleum products, and pay out handsome dividends with the cash those activities generate.

The good thing is, they make money no matter what is happening with the underlying commodities. After all, it doesn’t matter if gasoline costs $2 a gallon or $5 — companies still need to get crude oil from oil fields to refiners who can turn it into gas!

Are There Any Stock Alternatives
To the Usual Stuff Wall Street Peddles?

The answer is yes … you just need to know where to look! This isn’t the kind of market in which you want to just buy the S&P willy-nilly. That’s because it’s being artificially inflated with cheap, printed money in Europe, the U.K. and the U.S.

The problem with markets driven by quantitative easing (QE) — that is, money-printing — is that they don’t just stall out when central banks turn off the taps. They collapse utterly.

We saw that at the end of QE1 (March 31, 2010) and then again at the end of QE2 (June 30, 2011). The QE2 gains, which took eight months to rack up, went up in smoke in just two weeks last summer!

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Plus, as I mentioned earlier, this is a market that’s still fraught with big macro risks. The debt crisis in Europe isn’t going away. The United States’ own balance sheet is getting worse, not better. And it’s unclear how much longer bond investors are going to put up with Washington giving them the shaft!

If you’re stuck holding lousy stocks that were rising on nothing other than cheap money, and one of these crises erupts, you’re going to get crushed! So your first step is to use an impartial ratings tool like the Weiss Watchdog service, to get ratings and ratings changes on key stocks you’re interested in. You can go here to sign up and get 10 free ratings: http://www.weisswatchdog.com/.

Then, I’d consider investing in the select, targeted opportunities — in sectors like restaurants, health care, and so on — that I’ve identified. Naturally I can’t share specific names or ticker symbols here. That wouldn’t be fair to my paying subscribers.

But if you’d like to join them, and learn much more about my big-picture worldview and how we’re making money from it, check out Safe Money Report by clicking here. I trust you’ll be glad you did!

Until next time,

Mike

Mike Larson

Mike Larson graduated from Boston University with a B.S. degree in Journalism and a B.A. degree in English in 1998, and went to work for Bankrate.com. There, he learned the mortgage and interest rates markets inside and out. Mike then joined Weiss Research in 2001. He is the editor of Safe Money Report. He is often quoted by the Washington Post, Reuters, Dow Jones Newswires, Orlando Sentinel, Palm Beach Post and Sun-Sentinel, and he has appeared on CNN, Bloomberg Television and CNBC.

{ 14 comments }

Frances Friday, February 10, 2012 at 8:12 am

yreah, baby…the perfect chocie of “investment ‘vehicle for “a world fraught with risk”….highly leveraged ETF’s……

…..and yer a litle late to the rally….

whta maroon…

Mark Friday, February 10, 2012 at 3:39 pm

Who said anything about leverage?

Frances Friday, February 10, 2012 at 5:07 pm

read past articles…this is MIke modus-operanda…it’s what they “do”…..

read responses for terribly disapointed subscribers having huge losses….its what they advise..

Ask some of the Million Dollar Portfolio Subscribers…..its what their recos mostly were……

Now??..one doesn’t actually have to participate..one can deline the recos….

..it’s also called..reading between the lines…

If it looks like dog crap, smells like dog crap…its is dog crap

Frances Friday, February 10, 2012 at 7:06 pm

regardless…the Boy Blunder is actually talking about taking peoples money and starting NOW to invest in the markets???…wouldn’t say Mark its a little late to start an entry point??..

That would also seem to contradict what they’ve been braying about the last few years??…what??..change of heart???…at the top of the market??..

ESPECIALLY in any vehicle exposed to the MACRO market climate??….ie…world markets…Haven’t these brainiacs been screaming about an apocolypse worldwide??..Europe is in tatters!!!!!…OH, the humanity

Well…then..lets go ahead and jump into MACRO driven MLPs…energy and natural resource ones at that…JUST WHEN DUMB and DUMBER are preaching about a worldwide collapse….Well…enrgy and natural resources won’t be effected, huh??

MLP’s drop faster than you think in such a climate….

Frances Friday, February 10, 2012 at 2:25 pm

Here’s what I think you SHOULD do, MIke and Marty

You guyz should go down to the World Money Show in Orlando Florida and sell your strategies of using volatile ETF’s, where Seniors starving for return can lose X3 what they have left……

Maybe you guyz can go down there and help them lose money like the rest of your subscribers..

Oh….wait….you guyz are already there and doing so every year..

Sorry…….now these two are the true defintion of “trolls”…..

Frances Friday, February 10, 2012 at 2:53 pm

or??..maybe….maybe…well??..it’s to late now..because the boyz missed the rally..

..but..maybe Marty and the Boy Blunder COMPLETELY and UTTERLY HAD NO UNDERSTANDING of what the Fed was doing and the response the markets have had….which means they still have no undertadning of what is happening..

Why didn’t they advise people to just stick their money in a mutual fund and sit aback and relax???..

Heck..I took hundreds of thousands of dollars and stuck it in a mutual fund with Wells fargo a few years back…it is now ALMOST X 4 my entry point….

No trading….no volatility..nuttin..its a mutual fund!!!….Zzzzzzzzzzzzzz……Zzzzzzzzzzzzzz……and I still got x $ returns…

man..Marty and Mike kept shorting the market in the face of the biggest bully rally in history…no that takes some understanding…..

Howard Friday, February 10, 2012 at 4:25 pm

Hi Mike
Just a humble thought while looking at various asset classes. I notice that some are trying to buy interests in $US equities with a declining currency value. Some others are getting 5.5% min on a rising Australian Dollar just in simple term deposits. There are considerable cash flows into this.

Cristina Friday, February 10, 2012 at 6:43 pm

Love your posts Frances. On the money.

King Ralph Friday, February 10, 2012 at 11:39 pm

What should we buy in a world fraught with risk? How about a subscription to Safe Money Report. Yuk yuk.

Michael,UK & NZ Saturday, February 11, 2012 at 11:25 pm

The FED and the other central banks are not in control of the Stock markets like they would make you believe. The bulls just want to keep ear-wagging that they are in order to scare off bears and make everybody think the rally can go on forever.

The sentiment on here is tell-tail bullish euphoria and whacking anyone who dares to consider that the economy may be in trouble.

This is probably an excellent time to bet against the masses, but careful entry below key trend lines is a must with maximum 10% of your capital. When the trend breaks, I suspect a crash is in the offering.

We are still in a bear market from 2007. Until that high is taken out. This is a dangerous market to be in for the bulls. It is being primed for a crash, at any time…….

george Sunday, February 12, 2012 at 6:50 pm

As Frances so hilariously stated ,you guys are way late to the party.Dr. of anthropology cmon.

Sonny Sunday, February 12, 2012 at 9:00 pm

One Investment and I’ll give to you for free — Precious Metals & Physical Silver if you can find it.

I will say one thing – Martin saved my a** back in early 07 when he was Screaming – SELL YOUR PROPERTY’

Well I sold all my investment properties & to this day they are worth half of what I got for them back in 07

So Martin ain’t going to be right every dam time but that boy sure hit it out of the park back in 07

Much Obliged Always

Sonny

Michael,UK & NZ Monday, February 13, 2012 at 7:27 am

In 1929 the bulls were singing from the rooftops as they are today. Just two years later – 89% drop in the stock market. If there are any bulls here with ‘paper profits’, then I would caution that they look at history and think twice before thinking the FED are going to do you any favors!

Frances Wednesday, February 15, 2012 at 2:32 pm

Guess what this snippet means fans…HARP 2 BABY…MArch 17th…Happy St Pat’s day, suckers…

“• For fixed rate DU Refi Plus mortgages with terms up to 30 years, there is no maximum LTV for all occupancy types. There continues to be no CLTV/HCLTV limit.”

Means…..MILLIONS of Americans with CHERRY-A$$ credit just got a bailout from their underwater loans…no MAX LTV!!!!..

Millions will now be able to access the incredibly low rates and save MILLIONS and MILLIONS of dollars….

Guess what they are gonna do with all this new money???.buy, buy, buy…..

Banks are gonna be SWAMPED!!!!!!!!!!!!!>……..BIGGEST F-ing stimulus program ever!!!!!…

Previous post: Defend Yourself from the Fed with These New Inflation ETFs

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